The September jobs report and recent economic data suggest the Fed overreacted with its jumbo rate cut. The U.S. economy continues to hum at a stronger clip than many expect, which raises the question of whether the Fed made the right call going with a jumbo rate cut.

The jobs report affirms recession unlikely for now. It also almost guarantees the Fed will reduce rates by a quarter point in November.

Here is what you need to know ahead of this morning's monthly payrolls report: Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal expect 150,000 new jobs were created last month, up from 142,000 in August.