International Monetary Fund

Output Gap Uncertainty and Fiscal Policy Adjustment in Real-Time in Emerging Economies

Uncertainty around the real-time output gap has important implications for fiscal policy. This study uses successive vintages of the World Economic Outlook for emerging markets (EMs) during 1998-2022 ...
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What the economic cycle is and how it hits your financial stability

The economy's ups and downs are not abstract curves on a chart, they are the backdrop for your job security, mortgage rate, investment returns and even how long your emergency fund lasts. When I talk ...
The Financial Express

‘Structural reforms boost growth, easing cycle likely’ Q&A with MPC member Ram Singh

"Strong real growth has not been accompanied by inflationary pressure. Private Final Consumption Expenditure has risen to 61.5% of GDP in FY26 — the highest share in over a decade — yet there are no ...
Reuters

Japan says its economy likely to mark first positive output gap in 7 years

TOKYO, Dec 26 (Reuters) - Japan's government said on Thursday it predicts economic output will recover to full capacity in the next fiscal year for the first time in seven years on an annual basis due ...